Projecting cow numbers for 2026
Alfredo DiCostanzo, NE Extension Beef Systems Educator
For the last few weeks, I have been compiling USDA reports to generate projections on beef production and cattle inventory. The official release of the USDA cattle inventory is not until the end of this month. That leaves anyone attempting to put numbers together to rely on weekly slaughter reports for the end of 2025 and perusing the USDA cattle inventory reports for 2025 and previous years.
Using this information, and assuming that there will be errors in any approach, reconstruction of the inventory reports each January is possible. Error in predicting cow (beef and dairy inventory) for the years 2023 to 2024 ranged from 0.1% to 0.8%. Not bad for extremely rough projections.
Regardless, the important figures to concentrate on relate to heifer and cow slaughter and intentions represented in the cattle inventory to retain heifers. The latter is easily assumed to be on target if the figure “Heifers expected to calve” is used.
During each year between 2022 and 2025, 10.3, 10.0, 10.0, and 9.3 million heifers were harvested each year, respectively. During these years, 7, 6.6, 5.6, and 5.0 million cows were harvested each year, respectively. Clearly, harvest counts for 2022 to 2024 led to the lowest cow inventory in 2025.
So, the answer to the question whether we have stopped reducing the cow herd and begun building the herd may be constructed from these calculations.
Starting 2025 with a cow inventory totaling 37.2 million cows, from which 5 million cows were harvested, leads to a carryover of 32.2 million cows. Intentions in early 2025 were for the beef and dairy industry to calve 5.42 million heifers. This projects
37.6 million beef and dairy cows for January of 2026; a modest increase of 350,000 females over 2025.
Predicting the calf crop for 2025 is more difficult. Forage production conditions were generally favorable. Using the weighted average for percentage calf crop obtained between 2022 and 2024 (88.3%) returns a projection of 32.8 million calves expected to have been born in 2025. Relative to 2024, this projection represents a decline in calf crop of 670,000 calves or 2%. Keep in mind that reproductive efficiency of the US cow herd in 2024 was at an all time high (89.8%).
In conclusion, in January of 2026, the US is expected to have at least as many cows as were inventoried in 2025 or up to 350,000 more. This is positive as it represents the potential for beef production in 2026 to remain at levels like that in 2025.
The wild card? Reproductive efficiency!
At average pregnancy rates, we expect to have 670,000 fewer calves born in 2025. The US cow herd would have to have a 90% pregnancy rate (like that in 2024) to produce as many calves as were born in 2024.
Radicle Growth Launches the Radicle Corn Challenge Sponsored by U.S. Corn Farmers to Drive New Demand for Corn
Radicle Growth has announced the launch of The Radicle Corn Challenge sponsored by U.S. corn farmers, a global call for startups developing technologies that create new, durable demand for corn through innovative products, materials and value chains. The Challenge will invest a total of $1.75 million in selected companies and is supported by twelve leading U.S. corn grower organizations: Colorado Corn Promotion Council, Corn Marketing Program of Michigan, Illinois Corn Marketing Board, Iowa Corn Promotion Board, Kansas Corn Commission, Kentucky Corn Promotion Council, Missouri Corn Merchandising Council, National Corn Growers Association, Nebraska Corn Board, Ohio Corn Marketing Program, South Dakota Corn Utilization Council and Tennessee Corn Promotion Board.
The Radicle Corn Challenge is designed to support startups that are building new uses for corn by helping discover additional sources of demand across industrial, material, chemical and fuel applications. In addition to capital, selected companies will benefit from Radicle’s commercialization expertise, scientific and technical diligence, and connections across the corn and broader bioeconomy ecosystem.
“Corn has long been a foundational feedstock for food, feed and fuel,” said Kirk Haney, managing partner at Radicle Growth. “The next opportunity is expanding how corn is used across new products and markets. Through the Radicle Corn Challenge, we’re looking to support companies that can translate innovation into real-world demand.”
The Challenge seeks applications from startups and growth companies worldwide that are working on technologies converting corn and corn-derived streams, such as sugar (glucose), ethanol and other byproducts, into higher-value products. Areas of interest include bioplastics and materials, corn- and ethanol-derived chemicals, valorization of corn byproducts and emerging fuel pathways, including marine fuels and sustainable aviation fuel.
“Advances in chemistry, catalysis, and biological conversion are opening up new, practical pathways for corn-based products,” said Neal Gutterson, partner and chief technology officer at Radicle Growth. “What’s particularly compelling today is how many of these technologies are becoming technically and commercially viable at scale.”
Historically, corn growers have played an active role in building and growing new markets, including the early development of the ethanol industry. The Challenge explores how similar alignment between innovators, investors and growers can help scale the next generation of corn-based technologies.
“As corn production continues to expand, we must develop new and diverse uses for our crop beyond Nebraska’s renowned Golden Triangle, the interconnected system of corn, livestock and ethanol that powers our state’s economy and helps fuel the world,” said Brandon Hunnicutt, Nebraska Corn Board chair and farmer from Giltner, Nebraska. “The Radicle Corn Challenge represents a vital opportunity to uncover innovative, breakthrough solutions that benefit farmers and consumers alike. In 2025, we witnessed exciting advancements in corn utilization, and we look forward to supporting forward-thinking companies that will continue driving new demand for Nebraska and U.S. grown corn.”
Investment decisions will be made following a comprehensive due diligence process, with selected winners announced at the Bio Innovations North America conference on September 9, 2026, in Omaha, Nebraska.
For more information about The Radicle Corn Challenge Sponsored by U.S. corn Farmers and to apply, visit radicle.vc/radicle-corn-challenge.
Appointment of Fred Meyer to the Nebraska Legislature
Statement by Mark McHargue, NE Farm Bureau President
“Nebraska Farm Bureau congratulates Senator Fred Meyer on his appointment to serve as state senator for Legislative District 41, filling the seat vacated by former Sen. Dan McKeon. Sen. Meyer previously served District 41 during the 2024 legislative session after being appointed by Gov. Jim Pillen to replace Tom Briese. He also brings extensive leadership experience from his two elected terms on the Nebraska State Board of Education, where he served as both vice president and president.”
“Fred Meyer was born and raised near West Point, is a lifelong Nebraskan, and a long-time Nebraska Farm Bureau member. He farms near St. Paul and has strong agricultural roots and deep ties to rural communities, bringing valuable perspective to the Nebraska Legislature.”
“Nebraska Farm Bureau looks forward to working with Sen. Meyer as he advocates for policies that strengthen agriculture, rural communities, and Nebraska’s farm and ranch families.”
NDA’S ANNUAL POSTER CONTEST; AGRICULTURE: BUILDING THE FUTURE
Prepare your colored pencils, pull out your crayons and ready your markers, students! It’s time for the Nebraska Department of Agriculture’s (NDA) annual poster contest, open to all Nebraska students in first through sixth grades. This year’s theme is “Nebraska Agriculture: Building the Future,” highlighting Nebraska’s number one industry.
“With advancements in fuel and resources, agriculture truly is building the future,” said NDA Director Sherry Vinton, “and the future of agriculture is the students today. As they learn and grow, they will bring new ideas and innovations to the agricultural field. Our annual poster contest creates an opportunity for students to learn more about where our food comes from.”
NDA will announce the winners during National Agriculture Week, March 15-21, 2026. National Ag Week highlights the diversity of agriculture and celebrates the food, fuel and fiber that farmers and ranchers provide every day. NDA will feature winning entries from this year’s contest on its website and in promotional materials and publications.
NDA’s poster contest is divided into three age categories for judging purposes: first and second grade students; third and fourth grade students; and fifth and sixth grade students, in any Nebraska public, private or home school. All posters must be created exclusively by students and relate to this year’s theme. Entries will be judged on originality, effort and accuracy and must be received at NDA’s office by March 2, 2026.
Poster contest rules and official entry forms are available online at https://nda.nebraska.gov/kids. For more information, contact Christin Kamm at 402-471-6856 or by email at christin.kamm@nebraska.gov.
Ricketts, Coons Lead Bipartisan Bill to Boost Bio-Manufacturing and Expand Markets for Nebraska Ag
U.S. Senators Pete Ricketts (R-NE) and Chris Coons (D-DE) introduced the Renewable Chemicals Act. The bipartisan legislation would provide a targeted, short-term tax credit for qualifying renewable chemicals or an investment tax credit for renewable chemical production facilities. Renewable chemicals are produced from biomass such as corn and soybeans. This would incentivize the development of additional markets for Nebraska farmers. It would create Nebraska jobs in the chemical industry.
"Nebraska is the global leader in value-added agriculture," said Senator Ricketts. "This bill opens new markets for Nebraska ag. It will bring more ag-driven manufacturing to Nebraska. Bio-based products are common sense. They’re a win for consumers, the environment, and our farmers and ranchers. We aren't just growing food in Nebraska. We are growing the raw materials for America’s future."
Key Provisions of the Renewable Chemicals Act:
Production Tax Credit: A tax credit equal to 15% of the sales price per pound of renewable chemicals produced from biomass.
Investment Tax Credit: A 30% tax credit for investments in new renewable chemical production facilities.
Biobased Standards: Eligible chemicals must be at least 95% biobased content and utilize the USDA Certified Biobased Product label.
Senator Grassley Seeks Answers to Questions Raised by Midwest Attorneys General Regarding “Irreconcilable Statements” Made by Refiners Seeking RFS Exemptions
Iowa Senator Charles Grassley, Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, sent a letter today to the U.S. EPA and three other federal agencies seeking an update on actions they have taken to respond to serious concerns regarding renewable fuel standard (RFS) refinery exemptions raised by Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird and two of her neighboring colleagues.
Bird, along with the Attorneys General of South Dakota and Nebraska, sent a joint letter to four federal agencies in October 2025 to request an investigation into whether some refiners could be misleading regulators while seeking exemptions from the RFS. Their letter provided a myriad of examples of refiner statements about their strong fiscal position during the same timeframe in which they were claiming disproportionate economic harm while seeking RFS waivers.
“Iowa Renewable Fuels Association members thank Senator Grassley for this timely letter, keeping the pressure on EPA to get answers to these very serious questions,” said Monte Shaw, IRFA Executive Director. “As we continue to see RFS waivers granted, it is imperative that the integrity of the RFS stays intact and transparency is returned to the process. The rural economy is depending on a fully and properly enforced RFS.”
"Iowa’s corn growers applaud Senator Grassley, the Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, for his letter seeking updated action on the EPA’s investigation into refiners seeking RFS exemptions, ensuring the EPA remains accountable on issues that directly affect Iowa corn farmers," said Iowa Corn Growers Association Vice President Steve Kuiper, a farmer from Knoxville, Iowa. "Protecting the Renewable Fuel Standard is vital to Iowa’s corn industry and we must ensure it is not being taken advantage of.”
Naig Announces 2026 Renewable Fuels Marketing Award Recipients
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig today announced that Karde’s Convenience Store and Pilot Travel Centers are the recipients of the 2026 Renewable Fuels Marketing Awards. The annual awards recognize fuel retailers for outstanding leadership in expanding access to renewable fuels, educating consumers, and strengthening Iowa’s ethanol and biodiesel markets. He made the announcement during the annual Fuel Iowa membership breakfast in Des Moines.
“Congratulations to Karde’s Convenience Store and Pilot Travel Centers, and thank you for your leadership in promoting ethanol and biodiesel,” said Secretary Naig. “Renewable fuels are a win for everyone. Consumers gain access to affordable, reliable, homegrown energy, and Iowa farmers benefit from stronger demand for corn and soybeans. Through investments in infrastructure, marketing, and consumer education, retailers like Karde’s and Pilot are expanding access to higher blends, saving consumers money, and helping make everyday life more affordable. We need to see biofuel use continue to expand across the country, including year-round nationwide access to E15 and greater utilization of biodiesel and renewable diesel.”
The 2026 Renewable Fuels Marketing Award recipients:
Ethanol Award – Karde’s Convenience Store
Karde’s Convenience Store has demonstrated leadership in expanding renewable fuel access and consumer education in Monticello through targeted infrastructure investment and hands-on community engagement. In the summer of 2025, Karde’s installed E15 pumps, bringing the first clearly branded Unleaded 88 fueling options to the community. Building on that investment, Karde’s partnered with the Jones County Corn Growers to host a pump promotion in October 2025, where consumers fueling with Unleaded 88 received gift cards and education about ethanol-blended fuels. Store owner Mike Cox participated as a celebrity pumper, engaging directly with customers to answer questions and highlight fuel choices. The promotion resulted in approximately 900 additional gallons sold above the store’s daily average, underscoring the impact of proactive marketing and consumer outreach. Karde’s plans to continue these efforts with another promotion in spring 2026, reinforcing its commitment to growing consumer fuel choice and celebrating the use of homegrown ethanol at the pump.
Biodiesel Award – Pilot Travel Centers
In 2025, Pilot Travel Centers launched a pioneering B99 biodiesel pump at its Des Moines location, making it one of only a few sites nationwide offering nearly pure biodiesel for commercial trucking fleets. Developed through a collaboration with PepsiCo and Optimus Technologies, the project demonstrated how innovative engine technology and strategic partnerships can enable fleets to operate seamlessly on higher biodiesel blends. The launch generated extensive media interest and helped raise awareness of biodiesel’s performance and emissions-reduction benefits, while highlighting Iowa’s leadership in renewable fuels. The project also underscored the role fuel retailers can play in expanding access to practical, scalable, homegrown energy solutions that support fleet decarbonization and strengthen rural economies.
The Secretary’s Renewable Fuels Marketing Awards annually recognize Iowa fuel retailers and marketers who demonstrate innovation, commitment, and measurable success in promoting renewable fuels such as ethanol and biodiesel. Award recipients showcase how infrastructure investment, strategic partnerships, and consumer outreach can expand renewable fuel use while supporting Iowa farmers, strengthening rural economies, and advancing practical, lower-carbon, homegrown energy solutions.
IOWA CATTLEMEN’S ASSOCIATION SETS 2026 LEGISLATIVE PRIORITIES
The Iowa Cattlemen’s Association (ICA), the leading grassroots organization supporting Iowa’s beef cattle industry, announces its state policy priorities heading into the 2026 Iowa Legislative Session. These policy priorities focus on protecting private property rights, ensuring fair tax treatment for cattle producers, strengthening foreign animal disease preparedness, and improving livestock transportation efficiency.
“These priorities reflect what Iowa cattle producers need to remain competitive and resilient,” said Craig Moss, ICA President. “We look forward to working closely with the Iowa Legislature and the Governor’s Office to deliver more legislative wins for our members.”
At the core of ICA’s policy initiatives are producers. Following Governor Reynolds’ Condition of the State Address last night, we are grateful for her recognition of the importance of the future of Iowa agriculture, as demonstrated by her introduction of legislation aimed at modernizing the beginning farmer tax credit. As a recurring challenge heard by ICA, we appreciate Governor Reynolds’ commitment to supporting beginning farmers and helping ease the burden of entry into the industry.
ICA will continue to be fierce advocates for the next generation of cattle producers at the State Capitol. ICA’s policy efforts are foundational not only to ensuring a thriving Iowa cattle industry today, but also for the future.
2026 ICA State Policy Priorities
Private Property Rights
ICA opposes the use of eminent domain for private use across all projects and supports reducing landowner impact from new development. The Association is calling for clear, enforceable land restoration standards to ensure farmland can be returned to productive use.
Fair and Competitive Tax Policy
ICA supports a tax environment that does not unfairly burden cattle producers. Priorities include reducing or eliminating the Fruit & Forest Tree Reserve Tax Exemption, creating a sales tax exemption for building materials used in single-use barns, and preserving the livestock capital gains tax deduction.
Foreign Animal Disease Preparedness
Protecting Iowa’s cattle herd remains critical. ICA urges increased investment in foreign animal disease preparedness, including funding for prevention tools such as vaccines, and ensuring the state is equipped to respond swiftly to disease threats.
Interstate Weight Limits
ICA is working with legislators to urge Congress to modernize interstate weight limits for livestock haulers to reflect today’s equipment, improve efficiency, and support animal welfare.
2025 W.D. Farr Scholarship Recipients Announced
Shelley Curry of Kennard, Texas, and Sydney Bowman-Schnug of Fort Lupton, Colorado, have each been awarded a $15,000 W.D. Farr Scholarship by the National Cattlemen’s Foundation (NCF). The annual W.D. Farr Scholarship program recognizes outstanding graduate students for their academic achievements, leadership and commitment to the advancement of the beef industry. The scholarship recipients will be recognized during CattleCon 2026, Feb. 3-5, in Nashville, Tennessee.
Shelley Curry is a fourth-generation rancher and PhD candidate at the University of Nebraska – Lincoln, studying how heat stress affects livestock performance, welfare and product quality. She earned bachelor’s and master’s degrees in animal science from Texas A&M University. Her commitment to the beef industry is rooted in a lifetime of experience, academic training and professional development. Curry’s professional goal is to become an independent researcher and educator dedicated to advancing the beef industry through innovative, science-based solutions.
“This scholarship will provide critical support to further my education and research and will allow me to share my findings at national scientific conferences, producer meetings and industry workshops.,” Curry said. “Disseminating research in these forums not only advances scientific knowledge but also ensures that producers, students and consumers benefit from timely, research-based information.”
Sydney Bowman-Schnug is a PhD candidate at Colorado State University, studying ruminant nutrition and effective management strategies to maximize performance while maintaining animal health. She completed her master’s program at Texas Tech University and is a third-generation Colorado cattle producer. Bowman-Schnug plans to pursue a career as a consulting feedlot nutritionist with a goal to incorporate classic feeding strategies with cutting-edge additive technologies in a way that complements cattle type.
“This scholarship is a blessing and will help me encourage the next generation of agricultural leaders in both youth and undergraduate teaching programs,” said Bowman-Schnug. “It will make a monumental difference in my pursuit to further the future of the cattle industry.”
The scholarship, established by NCF in 2007, honors the successful career of the late W.D. Farr. Farr, a third-generation Coloradan, pioneer rancher, statesman and banker was known for his extraordinary vision. His dedication to improving agriculture, livestock and water development resulted in significant changes in farming methods that have influenced the practices of ranchers and farmers throughout the nation. Farr was the first president of the NCF and served as president of the American National Cattlemen’s Association, which later became the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA). Farr died at age 97 in August 2007.
The NCF advances the future of the beef industry by assisting in the education of the next generation of beef industry professionals. For more information about NCF and the W.D. Farr Scholarship, visit www.nationalcattlemensfoundation.org.
Weekly Ethanol Production for 1/9/2026
According to EIA data analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association for the week ending January 9, ethanol production skyrocketed by 8.9% to a record high of 1.20 million b/d, equivalent to 50.23 million gallons daily. Output was 9.2% higher than the same week last year and 13.7% above the three-year average for the week. The four-week average ethanol production rate increased 1.4% to 1.13 million b/d, equivalent to an annualized rate of 17.32 billion gallons (bg).
Ethanol stocks scaled up 3.5% to 24.5 million barrels. Yet, stocks were 2.1% less than the same week last year and 0.9% below the three-year average. Inventories built across all regions except the Midwest (PADD 2).
The volume of gasoline supplied to the U.S. market, a measure of implied demand, improved 1.6% to 8.30 million b/d (127.65 bg annualized). Demand was 0.3% less than a year ago but 1.1% above the three-year average.
Refiner/blender net inputs of ethanol rebounded 9.1% to 841,000 b/d, equivalent to 12.93 bg annualized. Net inputs were 1.4% more than year-ago levels and 1.0% above the three-year average.
Ethanol exports strengthened by 5.3% to an estimated 119,000 b/d (5.0 million gallons/day). It has been more than a year since EIA indicated ethanol was imported.
5 of 8 Major Fertilizers Lower Priced Than Month Ago
We've entered a New Year, but the same fertilizer price movements persist. Two considerably lower-priced fertilizers lead other nutrients in the less-expensive category for the first week of 2026, according to retailers contacted by DTN.
Five fertilizers were less expensive while the remaining three were slightly higher, for the second week in a row. DTN designates a significant move as anything 5% or more. DAP was 7% lower compared to last month and had an average price of $847/ton. MAP fell 5% from a month ago and had an average cost of $877/ton. The remaining three nutrients were slightly lower in price. Potash had an average price of $484/ton, urea $567/ton and UAN28 $410/ton.
Three fertilizers were slightly higher compared to last month. 10-34-0 had an average price of $674/ton, anhydrous $869/ton and UAN32 $465/ton.
On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was $0.62/lb.N, anhydrous $0.53/lb.N, UAN28 $0.73/lb.N and UAN32 $0.73/lb.N.
All eight fertilizers are now higher in price compared to one year earlier: MAP up 8%, potash up 9%, 10-34-0 up 10%, DAP up 15%, urea up 16%, anhydrous up 18%, UAN28 up 26% and UAN32 up 27%.
Whole Milk is Back: President Trump Signs Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act
Wednesday, President Donald J. Trump signed the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act in the Oval Office alongside U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins, U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., USDA National Nutrition Advisor Dr. Ben Carson, dairy farmers, moms, and bipartisan members of Congress to restore access to whole milk in schools and strengthen support for American dairy producers.
This legislation advances the Trump Administration’s agenda and aligns with the Dietary Guidelines for Americans, 2025–2030, released last week, which reintroduced full-fat dairy as part of a healthy dietary pattern.
“Thanks to President Trump’s leadership, whole milk is back – and it’s the right move for kids, for parents, and for America’s dairy farmers,” said Secretary Brooke Rollins. “This bipartisan solution to school meals alongside the newly released Dietary Guidelines for Americans reinforces what families already know: nutrient dense foods like whole milk are an important part of a healthy diet.”
Secretary Rollins was joined by dairy farmers Thomas French, Kevin Satterwhite, Jamie Pagel, William Thiele, and Tara Vander Dussen, and emphasized that restoring whole milk in schools supports both children’s nutrition and the producers who sustain rural jobs and communities. She also highlighted the Trump Administration’s broader work to rebuild the farm economy through fair trade, lower costs, reliable financing, and strong markets, all while working to make groceries more affordable for families. As a result, between January and December of last year, dairy products became more affordable, including butter (down 3.4%) and cheese (down about 2%).
The law reflects strong bipartisan leadership, including sponsors Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS), Senator Peter Welch (D-VE), Chairman of the U.S House Agriculture Committee Representative Glenn Thompson (R-PA-15) and Representative Kim Schrier (D-WA), with support from Chairman of the U.S Senate Agriculture Committee Senator John Boozman (R-AR).
USDA implementation begins immediately. Following the announcement USDA issued program implementation guidance to school nutrition officials to implement the bill, and a proposed rulemaking will soon commence to ensure schools and nutrition programs can begin offering whole milk as quickly as possible.
USDA will now undergo a rewrite of Child Nutrition Programs to ensure school meals are aligned with the Dietary Guidelines for Americans 2025-2030.
To mark today’s signing, USDA released the following video encouraging Americans to Drink Whole Milk to kick off that the milk mustache is officially back.
NMPF Statement of Signing of Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act
NMPF President & CEO Gregg Doud
“Dairy farmers and their cooperatives couldn’t be more thrilled that whole and 2% milk is returning to school meals. Dairy is a nutrition powerhouse that should be used to its fullest potential — and that means making it available in the same varieties families consume at home. We are ready to help schools and USDA in any way we can as this important legislation is implemented, and we thank the Trump administration, our advocates on Capitol Hill, and everyone who has worked to make school meals better through increased access to dairy.”
Registration is Now Open for USDA’s 102nd Agricultural Outlook Forum
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) announced today that registration is now open for the 102nd Agricultural Outlook Forum. The event will be held at the Crystal City Gateway Marriott on Feb. 19-20, 2026, and all Forum sessions will be livestreamed on a virtual platform.
The Forum program will feature a presentation on the 2026 outlook for the U.S. agricultural economy and trade by USDA Chief Economist Justin Benavidez, a keynote address by Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins, and a plenary panel of distinguished speakers who will discuss Agricultural Trade Under Trump’s Trade Agenda. The program also includes 22 breakout sessions organized by USDA agencies that will explore a wide range of current issues. More than 80 experts from government, industry, and academia will provide insights on key topics such as commodity and food price forecasts, farm income, U.S. and global agricultural trade, the future of biofuels, and AI applications in agriculture. The in-person event will feature exhibit booths hosted by USDA agencies highlighting their missions, recent USDA-funded innovations, and other key programs and activities.
About USDA’s Outlook Forum
The Agricultural Outlook Forum (AOF) is USDA’s oldest and largest annual event. It began in 1923 as a way to disseminate USDA data and analyses to farmers, so they had the tools to understand markets and make informed production decisions. Over time, the event has evolved into a unique platform where key stakeholders from the agricultural sector in the United States and around the world come together every year to discuss current and emerging topics and trends in the sector.
The Agricultural Outlook Forum, organized by USDA’s Office of the Chief Economist together with other USDA agencies, is independent of commercial interests, and aims to facilitate information sharing among stakeholders to enhance transparency and support markets and producers.
Thursday, January 15, 2026
Thursday January 15 Ag News - Projected Cow Numbers - Radicle Corn Challenge - Renewable Chemicals Act - ICA Sets Priorities - Whole Milk is Back! - and more!
Wednesday, January 14, 2026
Wednesday January 14 Ag News - Farmland Values Become More Complex - Weaned Calf Insurance webinar - Bins of Tomorrow webinar - Radicle Growth Corn Challenge - DMC Signup Underway - and more!
U.S. Farmland Values Enter New Phase Shaped by Localized Market Signals
The U.S. agricultural land market is shifting after years of steady growth. Although land values are still high historically, current signs indicate a more complex situation driven by local and regional factors rather than nationwide trends.
“After years of steady growth, we’re seeing the farmland market stabilize,” said Colton Lacina, senior vice president of real estate operations at Farmers National Company. “This isn’t a sign of collapse but a recalibration that reflects current commodity prices, input costs and regional production conditions.’
Farmland demand now varies widely by location. Areas with high crop yields, diversified farms, and dependable groundwater continue to attract buyers and maintain steady values. Regions facing commodity price pressure, lower yields, or limited alternative income sources are seeing lower demand.
“Farmland values are increasingly determined locally, sometimes down to the township,” Lacina said. “Buyers are carefully assessing soil quality, the percentage of tillable acres, water access, and how a parcel fits into their current operations. Those details matter more than ever.”
Despite mixed signals, market conditions remain favorable for many sellers. Farmland remains a resilient, long-term asset, and well-priced properties are attracting strong interest.
“This is still a workable window for sellers,” Lacina noted. “The key is understanding current local demand and choosing the right approach to bring land to market. Sellers who partner with experienced local land professionals often see better results because they’re aligned with how buyers think today.”
The makeup of buyers remains steady, but their strategies are changing. Active farmers remain the largest group of buyers, yet many are more cautious, weighing profitability concerns against long-term ownership goals. They focus on high-quality land within their established areas.
Investor interest from both local and institutional buyers remains steady. Many view the moderation in land values as an opportunity to enter the market at more disciplined prices.
“Investor buyers are focused on fundamentals,” Lacina said. “They’re targeting land with strong lease potential and reliable income that can support long-term returns.”
Farmers National Company anticipates stable U.S. farmland values overall, with ongoing divergence driven by local conditions. Opportunities may emerge in regions with weaker demand, and sellers' success will depend on accurate market insights and timing.
“The farmland market isn’t weakening; it’s becoming more selective,” Lacina added. “Whether buying or selling, the advantage will go to those who understand their local market and work with professionals who live and breathe those nuances daily.”
West-Central Region: Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa
Chanda Scheuring, Area Sales Manager
Buyers using tax-deferred exchange (1031) funds and those viewing land as a long-term investment continue to support land values in eastern Nebraska and western Iowa, according to Chanda Scheuring, area sales manager for Farmers National Company. These buyers have helped stabilize farmland prices for high-quality tracts or those with development potential. Conversely, properties with lower production capabilities are feeling the impact of depressed commodity prices over the past few years, Scheuring said.
“The supply of farms for sale remains similar to last year, but the overall buyer pool appears to be shrinking quickly. Farmers and investors are becoming more selective about which properties to add to their portfolios and the prices they're willing to pay. They are only making purchases they feel comfortable with, given tighter profit margins,” she added.
“With the changing market, it’s important to partner with a local real estate professional to not only understand the current value of your personal farm property but also determine the best way to market it in a shifting economy,” Scheuring noted.
Atwater Earns Top 10 Finalist Recognition in National
Nebraska Farm Bureau (NEFB) member Lance Atwater, of the Adams/Webster County Farm Bureau, was named a Top 10 finalist of the American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) Young Farmers & Ranchers (YF&R) Achievement Award. Young farmers and ranchers from across the country competed for the awards by demonstrating knowledge, achievement and commitment to promoting agriculture during the AFBF 107th Annual Convention in Anaheim, Cal. Jan. 9-14.
“It's an honor to make the Top Ten finalists of the Farm Bureau Achievement Award and be part of that group, hearing about the other competitors’ successful operations and the things they're doing to be successful,” said Atwater. “It’s a privilege to be part of the finalists and an honor to represent not only Nebraska Farm Bureau, but Nebraska farmers and ranchers. It’s rewarding to have the opportunity to share the story about our state and the things that I'm doing on my farm and what I've done to get where I'm at, in both leadership and on the farm.”
The Achievement Award recognizes young farmers and ranchers who have excelled in their farming or ranching operations and exhibited superior leadership abilities. Participants are evaluated on a combination of their agricultural operation’s growth and financial progress, Farm Bureau leadership and leadership outside of Farm Bureau.
“Lance truly reflects the best of Nebraska agriculture — he’s hardworking, forward-thinking, and deeply committed to building a strong future. His leadership shows what’s possible when passion, perseverance, and a desire to serve come together, and his impact on both his operation and the next generation makes him an outstanding example of leadership in action,” said Audrey Schipporeit, NEFB director of leadership development.
Atwater, owner of Atwater Family Farms, has spent a lifetime working toward his dream of farming. He is married to Krystal and has two children, Ryker and Addilynn. After earning a degree in agricultural economics from the University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Atwater returned home and spent a year working in precision agriculture at his local cooperative. In 2014, he joined his family’s farming operation full time. By 2016, Atwater began expanding his own operation by picking up ground and building relationships through custom farming.
Today he raises popcorn, white corn, yellow corn, and soybeans, while sharing his passion with the next generation. A longtime advocate for service, Atwater credits his time as a Nebraska FFA state officer for shaping his commitment to giving back. Soon after returning from college, he was recruited to the Adams/Webster County Farm Bureau board.
“A friend reached out and asked if I’d be interested in getting involved. The rest is history. I’ve been engaged in Farm Bureau ever since.”
Atwater has served on the Nebraska Farm Bureau Board of Directors for the past seven years.
Looking ahead, Atwater remains focused on navigating challenging economic conditions and building a sustainable future for his family.
“It continues to show that Farm Bureau is thinking about the next generation. It's really easy to think about yourself, but once you have kids and you start thinking about that next generation, your whole perspective changes,” said Atwater. “You can see that in our local Farm Bureau, you can see it in Nebraska Farm Bureau, and you can see it in the American Farm Bureau. We're always thinking about ways to make a better future for that next generation that wants to be part of this great industry.”
Understanding Weaned Calf Risk Protection Insurance
Jan 22, 2026 12:00 PM
Elliott Dennis, associate professor, livestock economist, UNL Center for Agricultural Profitability
Weaned Calf Risk Protection (WCRP) is a USDA Risk Management Agency insurance product designed to protect total weight gain of feeder cattle after weaning. The product is available for purchase, with a one-time sign-up deadline of Jan. 31.
This webinar provides an overview of how WCRP works, key considerations when selecting coverage levels, and how the product fits alongside other publicly and privately available livestock insurance options. The discussion is intended to help producers evaluate whether WCRP aligns with their broader risk management strategy.
Find all the details and register at cap.unl.edu/webinars.
Miss the live webinar or want to review it again? Recordings are available — typically within 24 hours of the live webinar — in the archive section of the Center for Agricultural Profitability's webinar page, https://cap.unl.edu/webinars.
Naig Comments on Reynolds’ Condition of the State Address
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig released the following statement after Gov. Kim Reynolds delivered the annual Condition of the State Address:
“Gov. Reynolds underscored a strong commitment to keeping life affordable for every Iowan by working to reduce the property tax burden and maintain a responsible, balanced budget. With disciplined state spending, Iowans keep more of what they earn which helps families, farms, and businesses grow, reinvest and save for the future.
Agriculture is the cornerstone of Iowa’s economy, and a strong agricultural sector ensures a strong Iowa. I look forward to working closely with the governor and the legislature to advance the Iowa Farm Act, which will deliver meaningful wins for farmers and strengthen rural communities. I appreciate the governor’s staff working closely with my team to modernize and strengthen the Beginning Farmer Tax Credit. I strongly support revamping this important program so it remains a meaningful tool to help the next generation of farmers get started and build their farm businesses.
Iowa is building a future where affordability meets opportunity. From safe communities and strong schools to abundant energy resources and a skilled workforce, we are creating a premier landscape where Iowans can thrive.”
Iowa Ethanol Production at Risk Following Introduction of Anti-CCUS Legislation
On the same week the USDA announced a record corn crop in Iowa, underscoring the need to grow ethanol demand, a bill introduced in the Iowa Legislature could restrict the tools Iowa ethanol producers need to be compete in emerging markets.
“Iowa farmers cannot afford, literally, to be cut out of the most exciting emerging demand for corn, ultra-low carbon ethanol markets,” said Iowa Renewable Fuels Executive Director Monte Shaw. “With lower corn prices and stagnating demand, developing new markets is critical. This bill would essentially ban CO2 projects in Iowa while our neighboring states are moving forward. Capturing and using or sequestering carbon from Iowa plants would generate $3 billion in federal incentives while helping enhance U.S. oil production, create investment opportunities for new projects in Iowa, and reduce CO2 in the atmosphere. This bill would slam the door on Iowa's ability to compete, and we urge Iowa House members to oppose it.”
House Study Bill 507 (HSB 507) would ban the use of eminent domain for CO2 pipeline projects and carbon capture, use and sequestration (CCUS) initiatives. President Trump has called CCUS central to his American Energy Dominance agenda. In Nebraska, a CO2 pipeline has already attracted a nearly $2 billion investment to make green methanol. CO2 sent to places like North Dakota, Wyoming, and Texas can be sequestered, but also allow enhanced oil recovery from America’s fracking fields.
Bins of Tomorrow Webinar to Focus on Grain Conditioning for Profitability
Farmers are invited to participate in an upcoming “Bins of Tomorrow” webinar on Feb. 9 from noon to 1 p.m. The webinar is offered by the Iowa State University Extension and Outreach agricultural engineering team and will focus on issues encountered during the 2025 grain harvest, grain quality and its storability in 2026.
Kapil Arora, field agricultural engineer with ISU Extension and Outreach, noted that the 2025 corn and soybean harvest had its unique challenges.
“Cooled grain with low moisture content is typically good for winter storage. The conditions ofGrain bins in the distance under a blue sky both soybeans and corn should be looked into as spring 2026 approaches,” he said. “Dry grain kernels are prone to shattering and splitting, which can cause issues during storage. Additionally, there is an economic loss when such grain is sold, as weights are not adjusted for corn with a moisture content below 15% or soybeans with a moisture content below 13%.”
Webinar topics include how to adjust weights using sensors, weather data and bin monitoring, using apps for decision-making and how to improve grain quality during storage, especially for soybeans. The webinar will be led by Dirk Maier, professor and director of the ISU Kent Feed Mill and Grain Science Complex.
Visit the Bins of Tomorrow website https://www.extension.iastate.edu/ageng/bins-of-tomorrow to register for the webinar or learn more about the Bins of Tomorrow programs. This webinar is offered to all participants at no cost, but registration is required.
Questions regarding the webinar can be directed to Kapil Arora at pbtiger@iastate.edu, Kris Kohl at kkohl1@iastate.edu or Tony Mensing at tmensing@iastate.edu.
Radicle Growth Launches The Radicle Corn Challenge sponsored by US Corn Farmers to Drive New Demand for Corn
Radicle Growth today announced the launch of The Radicle Corn Challenge sponsored by US Corn Farmers, a global call for startups developing technologies that create new, durable demand for corn through innovative products, materials, and value chains. The Challenge will invest a total of $1.75 million in selected companies and is supported by twelve leading U.S. corn grower organizations: Colorado Corn Promotion Council, Corn Marketing Program of Michigan, Illinois Corn Marketing Board, Iowa Corn Promotion Board, Kansas Corn Commission, Kentucky Corn Promotion Council, Missouri Corn Merchandising Council, National Corn Growers Association, Nebraska Corn Board, Ohio Corn Marketing Program, South Dakota Corn Utilization Council, and Tennessee Corn Promotion Board.
Corn farmers are highly efficient at producing corn, but long-term profitability increasingly depends on expanding how corn is used beyond traditional markets. The Radicle Corn Challenge is designed to support startups that are building new uses for corn by helping unlock additional sources of demand across industrial, material, chemical, and fuel applications.
“Corn has long been a foundational feedstock for food, feed, and fuel,” said Kirk Haney, Managing Partner at Radicle Growth. “The next opportunity is expanding how corn is used across new products and markets. Through the Radicle Corn Challenge, we’re looking to support companies that can translate innovation into real-world demand.”
The Challenge seeks applications from startups and growth companies around the world working on technologies that convert corn and corn-derived streams—such as sugar (glucose), ethanol, and other byproducts—into higher-value products. Areas of interest include bioplastics and materials, corn- and ethanol-derived chemicals, valorization of corn byproducts, and emerging fuel pathways, including marine fuels and sustainable aviation fuel.
“Advances in chemistry, catalysis, and biological conversion are opening up new, practical pathways for corn-based products,” said Neal Gutterson, Partner and Chief Technology Officer at Radicle Growth. “What’s particularly compelling today is how many of these technologies are becoming technically and commercially viable at scale.”
The Radicle Corn Challenge Sponsored by US Corn Farmers will invest $1.75M across the winning startups and growth companies. In addition to capital, selected companies will benefit from Radicle’s commercialization expertise, scientific and technical diligence, and connections across the corn and broader bioeconomy ecosystem.
Historically, corn growers have played an active role in building and growing new markets, including the early development of the ethanol industry. The Challenge explores how similar alignment between innovators, investors, and growers can help scale the next generation of corn-based technologies.
“Corn farmers continue to lead the way in producing high-quality corn, supplying feed, fuel, fiber and food around the globe,” said Joe Roberts, Iowa Corn Promotion Board President and farmer from Belmond, Iowa. “As the corn industry continues to expand in Iowa and around the country, the surplus of corn carryout is forecasted to increase, challenging farmer profitability. That’s why Iowa Corn, together with our corn state partners, is proud to sponsor the second Radicle Corn Challenge sponsored by US Corn Farmers. The challenge will once again spotlight breakthrough ideas and bold new demand opportunities for corn. I’m eager to see the startups and growth companies showcase their new technologies, while learning how we can work together to continue finding new uses for corn.”
Investment decisions will be made following a comprehensive due diligence process, with selected winners announced at the Bio Innovations North America conference on September 9th, 2026 in Omaha, NE.
For more information about The Radicle Corn Challenge Sponsored by US Corn Farmers, and to apply, visit radicle.vc/radicle-corn-challenge.
Signup Underway for Improved DMC to Assist Dairy Farmers Facing Low Prices
The National Milk Producers Federation is pleased that Dairy Margin Coverage Program signup is under way, with key improvements aiding farmers as prices have fallen and DMC assistance becomes essential for some farms in 2026.
“An improved DMC Program couldn’t come a moment too soon,” Gregg Doud, President & CEO of NMPF, said. “We appreciate USDA’s efforts to quickly update the DMC program, and we urge dairy farmers who will benefit from the program to sign up as part of their risk-management plans.”
The DMC changes were part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act passed last year that included multiple benefits for dairy, including making the Section 199A tax deduction and making more funds available for dairy farmers and their cooperatives to use for conservation programs.
DMC revisions published in the Federal Register include:
An opportunity to establish new production history based on the highest annual milk production level from any one of the 2021, 2022, or 2023 calendar years. Production history established between 2014-2025 will no longer be applicable for coverage.
USDA clarification on how new operations (i.e., those that began marketing milk after Jan. 1, 2023) will be able to establish production history.
Eligibility for operations to enroll their first 6 million pounds of production at the Tier 1 level, up from 5 million pounds, with all additional production covered under Tier 2. Premium rate fees under Tiers 1 and 2 are unchanged.
An opportunity for operations to make a one-time election of coverage level and coverage percentage, “locking in” those elections for a six-year period from January 2026-December 2031. Those who elect this option must participate in DMC at the same coverage levels for the six-year period and will receive a 25% premium discount for doing so.
Signup for the revised DMC runs now through Feb. 26. NMPF will keep its members apprised of key developments, with staff available to answer questions as necessary.
American Farm Bureau Establishes 2026 Policies
Farmer and rancher delegates to the American Farm Bureau Federation’s 107th Convention this week adopted policies to guide the organization’s work in 2026. Key topics ranged from labor to animal health to risk management.
For the fourth year, delegates were polled during the voting session regarding their farms. The results show almost 99% of those who cast votes operate family farms and more than two-thirds represent small- to mid-size farms as defined by USDA. Today’s discussion highlighted the fact that farmers across the spectrum and across the country are struggling.
“America’s farmers and ranchers are facing unprecedented challenges in agriculture, including high supply costs, trade imbalances, and low commodity prices. Today, our members gave us clear guidance on how we should address those challenges in the coming year,” said AFBF President Zippy Duvall. “Farm Bureau’s strength was on display today, as our grassroots set the policy for this organization. We look forward to taking their stories to leaders in Washington, as we work to ensure farmers and ranchers can continue to fill pantries for families across the country.”
Delegates adopted policy to improve labor programs to meet the needs of America’s farmers and ranchers, including formalizing support for the new Adverse Effect Wage Rate methodology, and further revisions to avoid unpredictable rate swings in the future.
They voted to support federal funding for research and biosecurity facilities to better identify and combat illnesses and pests that threaten the health of crops and animals. New policy also includes committing more resources specifically to eradicate the New World screwworm, and keeping the U.S.-Mexico border closed to cattle trade until the screwworm is controlled.
Delegates revised national farm policy to provide more protection for dairy farmers who may suffer losses due to market challenges.
Delegates also formalized support for prioritizing locally grown fruits, vegetables, bread, and proteins in institutional purchases such as schools and government facilities.
Voting members also requested that the board of directors analyze several agricultural issues, including the impact of tariffs and the lack of affordable insurance options for poultry farmers.
Farm Bureau Leadership Elections
Beyond policy changes, AFBF President Zippy Duvall and Vice President Scott VanderWal were unanimously re-elected for another two-year term.
Delegates also elected members to serve on the AFBF board of directors and national program committees. Stacy Simunek, Oklahoma (Southern Region), was elected to fill a one-year term on the AFBF board of directors. Joyce Brady, New Hampshire (Northeast Region), and ValJay Rigby, Utah (Western Region), were elected to two-year terms.
Eleven other state Farm Bureau presidents were re-elected to two-year terms to represent their regions on the board. From the Midwest Region—Garrett Hawkins, Missouri; and Mark McHargue, Nebraska. From the Northeast Region—Chris Hoffman, Pennsylvania. From the Western Region—Carlyle Currier, Colorado; and Rosella Mosby, Washington. From the Southern Region—Eddie Melton, Kentucky; Harry Ott, South Carolina; Jimmy Parnell, Alabama; Scott Sink, Virginia; Jeb Smith, Florida; and Dan Wright, Arkansas.
National Program Committees
Julie Hardy of Georgia (Southern Region) was elected to a two-year term on the Women’s Leadership Committee. Mindy Orschell of Indiana (Midwest Region), Dot Jensen of Utah (Western Region) and Jennifer Cross of Maryland (Northeast Region) were re-elected to two-year terms.
Heidi Cooper of Massachusetts was elected chair, Steve Breeding of Delaware was elected vice chair and Lynn Leahy of Wisconsin was elected secretary of the Promotion & Engagement Committee. They will each serve one-year terms.
Tommy Salisbury of Oklahoma was elected chair, Cleve Jackson of Georgia was elected vice chair and Katie Wiese of Minnesota was elected secretary of the Young Farmers & Ranchers Committee. They will each serve one-year terms beginning in March at the end of the YF&R Conference.
AFBF appreciates the 110 speakers and 4,500 registered attendees who helped make the 2026 Convention such a success.
Planning for the American Farm Bureau’s 2027 Convention has already begun. Mark your calendar to join us Jan. 8-13, 2027, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Tuesday January 13 Ag News - USDA Crop Production, Stocks, Wheat acres reports - PVC membership meeting - NE NE Crops Update - Master Irrigator Program - IA Ethanol Production Plateaus - and more
Crop Production 2025 Summary
Corn for grain production in 2025 was estimated at a record high 17.0 billion bushels, up 14 percent from the 2024 estimate. The average yield in the United States was estimated at a record high 186.5 bushels per acre, 7.2 bushels above the 2024 yield of 179.3 bushels per acre. Area harvested for grain was estimated at 91.3 million acres, up 10 percent from the 2024 estimate.
Iowa ..........: 210.0 bu/acre 2,772,000,000 bushel production total
Nebraska ....: 194.0 bu/acre 2,027,300,000 bushel production total
Soybean production in 2025 totaled 4.26 billion bushels, down 3 percent from 2024. The average yield per acre was estimated at a record high 53.0 bushels per acre, up 2.3 bushels from 2024. Harvested area, at 80.4 million acres, was down 7 percent from last year.
Iowa .........: 63.5 bu/acre 595,630,000 bushel production total
Nebraska ...: 65.5 bu/acre 313,745,000 bushel production total
Sorghum: Grain production in 2025 was estimated 437 million bushels, up 27 percent from the 2024 total. Planted area for 2025 was estimated at 6.64 million acres, up 5 percent from 2024. Area harvested for grain, at 6.02 million acres, was up 7 percent from 2024. Grain yield was estimated at 72.6 bushels per acre, up 11.3 bushels from 2024.
Grain Stocks
Corn Stocks Up 10 Percent from December 2024
Soybean Stocks Up 6 Percent
All Wheat Stocks Up 7 Percent
Corn stored in all positions on December 1, 2025 totaled 13.3 billion bushels, up 10 percent from December 1, 2024. Of the total stocks, 8.70 billion bushels are stored on farms, up 14 percent from a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 4.58 billion bushels, are up 4 percent from a year ago. The September - November 2025 indicated disappearance is 5.29 billion bushels, compared with 4.58 billion bushels during the same period last year.
State - '24 on farm - '24 off farm - total - '25 on farm - '25 off farm - total
(1,000 bushels)
Iowa .......: 1,350,000 828,696 2,178,696 1,450,000 827,129 2,277,129
Nebraska .: 830,000 532,297 1,362,297 1,000,000 527,152 1,527,152
Soybeans stored in all positions on December 1, 2025 totaled 3.29 billion bushels, up 6 percent from December 1, 2024. Soybean stocks stored on farms totaled 1.58 billion bushels, up 2 percent from a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 1.71 billion bushels, are up 10 percent from last December. Indicated disappearance for September - November 2025 totaled 1.30 billion bushels, down 20 percent from the same period a year earlier.
State - '24 on farm - '24 off farm - total - '25 on farm - '25 off farm - total
(1,000 bushels)
Iowa ......: 220,000 286,550 506,550 215,000 307,086 522,086
Nebraska : 68,000 158,175 226,175 83,000 179,757 262,757
All wheat stored in all positions on December 1, 2025 totaled 1.68 billion bushels, up 7 percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks are estimated at 446 million bushels, down 4 percent from last December. Off-farm stocks, at 1.23 billion bushels, are up 11 percent from a year ago. The September - November 2025 indicated disappearance is 459 million bushels, 9 percent above the same period a year earlier.
State - '24 on farm - '24 off farm - total - '25 on farm - '25 off farm - total
(1,000 bushels)
Iowa .......: (NA) 2,754 2,754 (NA) 3,159 3,159
Nebraska .: 3,700 35,688 39,388 3,300 36,520 39,820
Grain sorghum stored in all positions on December 1, 2025 totaled 268 million bushels, up 26 percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks, at 39.7 million bushels, are up 26 percent from December 1 last year. Off-farm stocks, at 228 million bushels, are up 26 percent from a year earlier. The September - November 2025 indicated disappearance from all positions is 209 million bushels, up 27 percent from the same period in 2024.
State - '24 on farm - '24 off farm - total - '25 on farm - '25 off farm - total
(1,000 bushels)
Nebraska ....: 3,300 13,444 16,744 2,600 9,587 12,187
Winter Wheat Planted Acres Down Less Than 1 Percent
Winter wheat seeded area for 2026 is expected to total 33.0 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 2025. Approximate class acreage breakdowns are: Hard Red Winter, 23.5 million; Soft Red Winter, 6.14 million; and White Winter, 3.36 million.
Winter wheat: Planted area for harvest in 2026 is estimated at 33.0 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 2025 and down 2 percent from 2024. A record low planted area is expected in California and Nebraska. Seeding of the 2026 acreage was underway in early-September. Planting reached 97 percent complete by November 23. Emergence was at 87 percent complete on November 23.
Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat seeded area is expected to total 23.5 million acres, down slightly from 2025. The largest increase in planted acreage is estimated in Oklahoma, while Montana is estimated to have the largest decrease.
Nebraska: 850,000 acres - 89% of the '25 acres
Soft Red Winter (SRW) wheat seeded area totals 6.14 million acres, up less than 1 percent from 2025. Compared with last year, the largest acreage increase is expected in Ohio, while the largest acreage decrease is expected in Tennessee.
White Winter wheat seeded area totals 3.36 million acres, down 5 percent from 2025. Idaho, Oregon, and Washington are expecting decreased acreage.
Durum wheat: Seedings in Arizona and California for 2026 harvest are estimated at a combined 75,000 acres, up 15 percent from 2025 but 11 percent below 2024.
Naig Comments on USDA’s Annual State and National Crop Production Summary
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig commented on the 2025 Crop Production Annual Summary released by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). The national summary and state summaries are released in January each year.
“The 2025 growing season tested Iowa farmers with highly variable conditions, including areas that saw too much rain, others that were too dry, and disease pressure that added to the complexities. Even so, Iowa farmers once again delivered a historic and record-breaking crop. This productivity is coming at a time of real stress in the ag economy, with tight margins driven by high input costs and continued pressure from low commodity prices,” said Secretary Naig. “To reverse this trend, we can start by taking steps to use more of what we grow and raise here at home. We need Congress to deliver a modern, five-year Farm Bill that provides certainty and enact year-round nationwide E15, which would create more than two billion bushels of additional annual demand for corn. The Administration must also work quickly to finalize robust RFS volumes and continue pursuing trade agreements that expand markets abroad. Strong domestic demand, reliable export markets, and clear, predictable policy are essential to supporting our farmers and strengthening Iowa’s ag economy.”
2025 Iowa Corn and Soybean Production Highlights
2025 was Iowa’s second highest corn yield at 210 bushels per acre.
2025 was Iowa’s all-time record for corn production at 2.77 billion bushels.
2025 was Iowa’s all-time record soybean yield at 63.5 bushels per acre.
2025 was Iowa’s third highest soybean production at 596 million bushels.
2025 National Corn and Soybean Production Highlights
2025 set the national all-time corn yield record at 186.5 bushels per acre.
2025 set the national all-time corn production record at 17.0 billion bushels.
2025 set the national all-time soybean yield record at 53 bushels per acre.
2025 was the seventh highest soybean production at 4.26 billion bushels.
Corn Growers Alarmed by New Supply Projections
The U.S. Department of Agriculture today released its World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimate projecting a 17-billion-bushel corn supply in 2025-2026, raising alarms among the nation’s corn growers and triggering an immediate market reaction.
If the projections prove accurate, this year’s crop will be the largest on record by far.
The surplus supply promises to keep corn prices low as farmers struggle to pay high input costs.
“We need long-term market solutions, and we need them quickly, or this is going to deepen the economic crisis in the countryside,” said Ohio farmer and NCGA President Jed Bower. “The urgency for Congress and the president to open new markets abroad and expand consumer access to ethanol just increased exponentially.”
Bower noted that an immediate boost to demand would be the passage of legislation authorizing year-round consumer access to fuels with 15% ethanol blends. He says this solution comes at no cost to consumers, requires no additional infrastructure developments and could use 2.4 billion additional bushels of corn annually at full implementation, according to NCGA estimates.
NCGA continues to push the administration to quickly broker additional high-volume deals with other countries and finalize details on deals already announced, Bower said.
Corn growers have noted that India, Vietnam and Kenya are all strategically important markets to them.
As he took in the news, Bower said that this is only the latest in a series of problems for growers.
“We expect the economic and financial challenges growers are already facing will only worsen with excess supply.”
Platte Valley Cattlemen Membership Meeting Jan 19
January is membership month for the Platte Valley Cattlemen and one of the most important meetings of the year. PVC welcomes any new members who would like to join! The January 19th meeting will be held at Wunderlich's Catering in Columbus. Social hour is at 6pm and the meal is at 7pm. Speakers for the evening will be with Nebraska Cattlemen giving a legislative update. Sponsors for the evening are Lindsay Co-op and Agri-City Insurance. They look forward to seeing you Jan 19th!
Northeast Nebraska Crops Update
Farmers, crop consultants, agribusiness professionals, and others interested in row crop production are invited to attend the Northeast Nebraska Crops Update, a free, one-day educational program focused on current crop issues and management decisions along with industry representatives.
The Northeast Nebraska Crops Update will be February 4, from 9:00 a.m. to 3:30 p.m. Registration will begin at 8:30 a.m. Lunch and refreshments will be provided at no cost to participants. There is no cost to attend, and lunch is provided, but pre-registration is requested at go.unl.edu/26register-crops-update for meal planning purposes or by contacting Agnes at 402-584-2261.
This update will feature Extension specialists covering a wide range of timely topics relevant to the growing season, including:
Corn and soybean diseases
Soybean defoliation and insect management
Entomology updates affecting Northeast Nebraska crops
In-season nitrogen reduction and nutrient management strategies
Grain storage management and post-harvest considerations
Agricultural policy and economic implications, including discussion of the “One Big Beautiful Bill”
Certified Crop Adviser CEU’s are pending for program participants.
The Northeast Nebraska Crops Update is designed to provide practical, research-based information that producers can apply immediately to improve decision-making, profitability, and risk management.
Location: Haskell Ag Lab (Main Office), 57905 866 Road, Concord, NE 68728
For more information, go to the website go.unl.edu/26crop_update.
2026 Nebraska Master Irrigator discussions
Crystal Powers - Water and Cropping Systems Extension Educator
Join us for this opportunity to 'talk shop' about the issues on the top of your mind. We invite farmers to join us with business and conservation partners to discuss how we grow more with less. Getting the most out of existing farm investments and strengthening our farms today and the future of Nebraska's soil & water.
Day 1 Theme: Irrigation Challenge
- Getting the most out of your equipment
- Saving water & pumping costs
- Support tools & new technology
- Discussions with TAPS & On-farm research participants
- Connect with incentive opportunities
Day 2 Theme: Soils Challenge
- Soil health & regenerative agriculture
- Reducing fertilizer losses
- In-season nitrogen challenge
- Discussions with TAPS & On-farm research participants
- Connect with incentive opportunities
Save the date! 9am-2pm. Registration opening in January:
Grand Island: February 25 & March 2
Beatrice: February 27 & March 18
Norfolk: March 6 & 11
North Platte: Dec 5 & March 13
Industry partners & panelists:
Arable, Bish, CropX, Delta Plastics, Komet, Lindsey, Nelson, Prairie Fire Ag Solutions, Reinke, Senninger, Sentinel, Valley, T-L, BioAg Solutions, Yield Plus Agronomics.
Thank you to our ag business partners for supporting lunch.
This event is sponsored by University of Nebraska Extension and USDA-NRCS. Any questions, please reach out to Crystal Powers, Water and Cropping Systems Educator. More information can be found here: https://water.unl.edu/save-date-join-2026-nebraska-master-irrigator-discussions/.
Iowa Ethanol Production Stagnant Over Three Years at 4.6 Billion Gallons
Iowa’s ethanol plants produced 4.6 billion gallons of ethanol in 2025, matching its output level from the past two years. Iowa accounts for 28% of total U.S. ethanol production, which hit 16.4 billion gallons in 2025, the fifth straight annual increase. Iowa processed over 1.5 billion bushels of corn into ethanol, corn oil, high-protein livestock feed, and biogenic CO2.
Over the last three years, while Iowa production levels remained stagnant, national ethanol production increased by 850 million gallons. Media reports have indicated planned and completed ethanol plant expansions in states such as Indiana, Illinois, North Dakota, and Nebraska..
“Investment dollars flow to areas with a perceived competitive advantage,” said Monte Shaw, Executive Director of the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association (IRFA). “The states attracting significant investment have one thing in common – the ability to sequester carbon either locally or via pipeline infrastructure. While Iowa remains the largest ethanol-producing state, we are behind in the race to maximize the incentive and market benefits from producing ultra-low carbon ethanol.”
If Iowa’s 4.6 billion gallons of ethanol production utilized CCS technology, it would bring over $3 billion in 45Z tax credits back to the state and strengthen its competitive position by making its ethanol more attractive to emerging domestic and export markets.
“There is no reason why Iowa plants won’t grow in the near future if we maintain their access to the tools and technologies to compete,” Shaw added. “Emerging markets like marine fuel and sustainable aviation fuel present huge opportunities. These markets are demanding ultra-low carbon ethanol. Iowa needs carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) and conservation-smart agriculture practices to be attractive. IRFA will continue to support legislation that enhances landowner rights, streamlines the permitting process, and maintains a viable path forward for CCS. Our future depends on it.”
Clean Fuels Conference to Highlight Market Potential, Policy Outlook for Biodiesel, Renewable Diesel and SAF
Leaders from across the biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) value chain will gather next week in Orlando for the 2026 Clean Fuels Conference to examine the state of clean fuels markets, emerging policy dynamics and the technologies driving continued growth.
The Clean Fuels Conference runs Monday through Thursday, Jan. 19-22, at the Orlando World Center Marriott bringing together producers, feedstock suppliers, engine and equipment manufacturers, fuel marketers, policymakers and end users from across the globe.
Mainstage sessions will explore:
Clean Fuels in a Changing Global Scene: Market trends and outlooks for biodiesel, renewable diesel and SAF in 2026
Managing Tight Supplies and Tougher Rules for Vegetable Oils, Fats and UCO: Tightening feedstock markets, regulatory pressures and evolving sourcing strategies are shaping the future of biodiesel and renewable diesel production
Navigating Marine Opportunities: Growing opportunities for clean fuels in the marine sector, driven by rising demand and emerging mandates
Aligning with the Liquid Fuels Supply Chain: Where clean fuels fit today, where they could grow, and what both sides need to accelerate progress together
From Field to Fuel Tank: Purpose-driven leadership and coordinated supply chains are advancing clean fuels from farm fields to fuel tanks nationwide
In addition to mainstage programming, conference breakout sessions will offer in-depth discussions on policy, fuel markets and standards, sustainability reporting and regulatory implementation—providing attendees with a comprehensive view of the clean fuels landscape.
The conference will once again feature a Vehicle Showcase, highlighting heavy-duty vehicles, equipment and technologies powered by biodiesel and renewable diesel.
The Clean Fuels Conference is hosted by Clean Fuels Alliance America, the national trade association representing biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel.
For more information or to register for the 2026 Clean Fuels Conference, visit cleanfuelsconference.org.
Monday, January 12, 2026
Monday January 12 Ag News - Custom Operators Survey - Frontier Coop FFA Grants - AKRS new O'Neill Location - ICA New Board Leadership - Red Meat Export update - and more!
Custom Operators: Please Complete Custom Rates Survey by Early February
If you provide agricultural custom hire services in Nebraska, Nebraska Extension needs your help.
The 2026 Nebraska Agricultural Custom Rates Report is built entirely from survey responses submitted by custom operators across the state. This report is widely used by producers, operators, and ag professionals to set fair and realistic custom rates, and its accuracy depends on strong participation.
We’re currently working to increase responses and are aiming for 100 or more completed surveys before the survey closes in early February.
Why participate?
Your rates help set benchmarks others rely on
Results reflect real-world Nebraska operations
Strong participation improves accuracy for everyone
The survey is available online or in print, based on your preference.
Request the survey here https://cap.unl.edu/nebraska-custom-rates-survey-sign/
(You’ll receive the online link by email or a printed copy by mail.)
Thank you for taking a few minutes to contribute to a resource that supports sound decision-making across Nebraska agriculture!
CAP Webinar: Is That Bull Worth It? Practical Decisions with the Bull Value Cow-Q-Lator
Jan 15, 2026 12:00 PM
Matt Stockton, professor and agricultural economist, UNL
Randy Saner, livestock systems extension educator, UNL
Shannon Sand, agricultural economics extension educator, UNL
This webinar will walk through how to use the Bull Value Cow-Q-Lator to put real numbers behind bull-buying decisions. Participants will see how to combine purchase price, expected calf performance, and herd genetics to estimate the economic value of individual bulls. The session will feature practical examples, showing how the tool can compare multiple bulls, test “what-if” scenarios, and support more confident, data-driven investments in herd sires.
Click here to register: https://cap.unl.edu/webinars.
Miss the live webinar or want to review it again? Recordings are available — typically within 24 hours of the live webinar — in the archive section of the Center for Agricultural Profitability's webinar page, https://cap.unl.edu/webinars.
Free Farm and Ranch Legal Clinics Continue in 2026
As a new year begins, Legal Aid of Nebraska is continuing its free farm and ranch legal clinics, offering producers no-cost assistance with common legal questions affecting agricultural operations.
Free legal and financial clinics are being offered for farmers and ranchers across the state in January. The clinics are one-on-one in-person meetings with an agricultural law attorney and an agricultural financial counselor. These are not group sessions, and they are confidential.
The attorney and financial advisor specialize in legal and financial issues related to farming and ranching, including financial and business planning, transition planning, farm loan programs, debtor/creditor law, debt structure and cash flow, agricultural disaster programs, and other relevant matters. Here is an opportunity to obtain an independent, outside perspective on issues that may be affecting your farm or ranch.
Clinic Dates
Wednesday, Jan. 14 — North Platte
Wednesday, Jan. 21 — Valentine
Thursday, Jan. 22 — Norfolk
Monday Jan. 26 — Nebraska City
To sign up for a free clinic or to get more information, call the Nebraska Rural Response Hotline at 1-800-464-0258. Funding for this work is provided by the Nebraska Department of Agriculture and Legal Aid of Nebraska.
Frontier Cooperative Supports Local FFA Chapters Through 2025 Grant Program
Frontier Cooperative donated to the Nebraska FFA Foundation in support of local FFA chapters. Ten FFA chapters received grant funds to go toward classroom or chapter needs.
The FFA chapters selected to receive 2025 grant funds include:
Ashland-Greenwood FFA, outdoor school garden
Aquinas FFA, ag lab expansion
Central FFA, cow-calf operation
East Butler FFA, beef lab and ag chat
Elmwood-Murdock FFA, cow and pig ear simulation model kit, horse and chicken kits
Johnson County Central FFA, farm learning lab
Palmyra FFA, livestock management project
Twin River FFA, interactive animal and plant science resources
Waverly FFA, soil temperature, pH and dissolved oxygen sensors
Weeping Water FFA, veterinary science curriculum and supplies
“We value investing in these chapters and the students who are growing as agricultural leaders in their schools and communities,” said Jeremy Wilhelm, Frontier Cooperative Chief Executive Officer. “Giving to FFA chapters is a meaningful way to support the communities that support Frontier Cooperative and how we hope to ensure a bright future for agriculture.”
“Access to quality equipment, curriculum and technology is essential for preparing students for careers in agriculture,” said Stacey Agnew, Nebraska FFA Foundation Executive Director. “Frontier Cooperative’s support is helping develop a strong future workforce for rural communities across Nebraska, and we’re thankful for their partnership.”
AKRS Equipment Opens New State-of-the-Art Facility in O’Neill
AKRS Equipment is opening a new O’Neill store just down the road from its previous location.
The location officially opens for business on January 12th at 49157 Douglas Ave, O’Neill, NE 68763.
The upgraded facility enhances AKRS Equipment’s ability to serve both employees and customers, featuring a 40,000-square-foot service shop that expands technician capabilities, improves service efficiency, and supports long-term growth for the business and the O’Neill community.
“O’Neill has long been an important part of our footprint,” said Kevin Clark, CEO of AKRS Equipment. “This new location allows us to continue serving the area with the level of support and service our customers expect.”
In conjunction with the relocation, AKRS is actively hiring service technicians and will host a hiring event later this month at the new facility.
AKRS Equipment Hiring Event – O’Neill
Date: January 23
Time: 10:00 AM to 6:00 PM
Location: AKRS Equipment, 49157 Douglas Ave, O’Neill, NE
The event will feature open interviews for service technicians throughout the day. AKRS is seeking skilled technicians with John Deere or competitive equipment experience and offers competitive hiring bonuses and relocation packages.
Those interested can apply in advance or learn more at akrs.com/careers.
AKRS Equipment continues to invest in facilities, people, and technology to better serve Nebraska agriculture and support the communities where it operates.
IOWA CATTLEMEN’S ASSOCIATION WELCOMES NEW BOARD LEADERSHIP
The Iowa Cattlemen’s Association (ICA), the leading grassroots organization supporting Iowa’s beef cattle industry, recently elected new leadership to its Board of Directors, with the Executive Committee being announced at the annual meeting held at the 2025 Iowa Cattle Industry Convention on December 16 at the Meadows Events Center in Altoona, Iowa.
ICA welcomes Craig Moss from Hull, Iowa, in Sioux County as the new ICA board president. Craig ascends into this position after two years as the ICA president-elect. Craig and his wife, Hayley, along with their two sons, Merritt and McCoy, farm, feed cattle, and raise hogs with Craig’s parents. He began his involvement with ICA early as a participant in what is today the Iowa Cattlemen’s Leadership Program. From there, Craig has held several positions on committees and boards for the association, as well as plays an active role in the Sioux County Cattlemen’s Association. During the past two years as president-elect, Craig has observed, participated, and led association business to help prepare him for success as the association’s president.
"The association is fortunate to have Craig serving the state's cattle producers as president of the association,” said Bryan Whaley, CEO of the ICA. “Craig brings strong leadership, a deep understanding of the beef industry, and a genuine commitment to serving fellow producers. The extensive network Craig has across the country and respect within the industry, will be invaluable as he leads ICA. I look forward to partnering with him as we continue to strengthen our grassroots voice and advance the interests of Iowa cattle producers for generations into the future.”
With this transition, ICA would like to thank the outgoing president, Rob Medberry from Volga, Iowa. Rob diligently served the association for two years as president. During his tenure, he provided thoughtful leadership to direct and guide the association. He offered a sounding board for ICA staff and members to address opportunities and challenges within the industry and the work the association does for members. Thank you to Rob for his service not only as the president but also for his years of service leading up to that position. Rob will retain the past president position on the ICA board.
Additional elections to the Executive Committee included Jeff Landrum as the new ICA president-elect. Also new to the Executive Committee, but not the ICA Board, are Terry (Bubba) Chapman, who was elected as the southeast regional vice president, and Scott Birker, who was elected as the northeast regional vice president. Both Terry and Scott had previously been serving in district director roles. ICA also welcomes back Mitch Schafer to the associate vice president board seat, which he was reelected to for a second term.
ICA staggers regional vice president elections between the east and west to ensure stability within the Executive Committee during transition times. This year, it was eastern Iowa’s election cycle, and ICA would like to thank exiting committee members, Doug Schoeder, the outgoing southeast regional vice president, and Scott Niess, the outgoing northeast regional vice president. Your guidance, support, and vision have been appreciated.
“ICA was fortunate to have individuals like Rob, Doug, and Scott to serve in leadership capacities for many years,” commented Whaley. “Their commitment and dedication to the association as volunteers, representing Iowa at the federal, state, and local county levels, is greatly appreciated. They each brought a unique set of skills and background to their positions on the board and were a great asset in assisting me during my first two years in this role. We thank them for their service to ICA and the cattle industry in Iowa.”
District Directors:
· Brad Balsley, Floyd County (District 5)
· Grant Beeler, Jackson County (District 11)
· Greg Bartelma, Jasper County (District 14)
· Will Longinaker, Fremont County (District 17)
· Dan Delaney, Jefferson County (District 20)
ICA would also like to recognize those board members who were recognized for their service to the board and have termed out or retired from their positions. We thank each of these board members for their service.
October Pork Exports Largest Since March; Encouraging Rebound for Beef
U.S. pork exports continued to build momentum in October, led by a record performance in leading market Mexico, according to data released by USDA and compiled by the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF). While beef exports remained lower year-over-year, shipments rebounded to some degree in October, posting the largest totals since June.
Record-large shipments to Mexico fuel strong October pork exports
Pork exports totaled 264,657 metric tons (mt) in October, up 5% from a year ago, valued at $762.1 million (up 7%). Both volume and value were the largest since March, led by substantial growth in Mexico and year-over-year increases to Central America, Canada, Japan, South Korea and the Philippines. In addition to Mexico, October shipments were also record-large to Honduras and Guatemala.
January-October pork exports reached 2.43 million mt, just 2% below the record pace of 2024. Export value was also down 2% to $6.93 billion. The year-over-year difference is mostly due to a 20% decline in exports to China (which are mainly variety meats), where U.S. pork is subject to burdensome retaliatory duties.
Bright spots for October beef exports include Japan, Taiwan, Caribbean, Colombia
Beef exports totaled 93,448 mt in October, down 11% year-over-year but the largest since June and 16% above the low volume posted in September. Export value was also the highest since June at $759.5 million, down 12% from a year ago but 15% above September. October beef exports increased year-over-year to Japan, Taiwan, Canada, the ASEAN region and the Dominican Republic, while also jumping sharply to Colombia. But these gains were more than offset by lack of access to China, which has reduced exports to minimal volumes for the past several months. For markets other than China, October beef exports were up 5% year-over-year in volume and up 7% in value.
January-October beef exports totaled 949,471 mt, down 11% from the 2024 pace, while value was down 10% to $7.79 billion. When excluding China from these results, exports were down 3% in volume and just 1% in value compared to the first 10 months of 2024.
“The latest export data confirm what I consistently hear from customers across the world and from our international staff – that global demand for U.S. red meat remains robust, despite tight supplies and formidable market access barriers,” said USMEF President and CEO Dan Halstrom. “Obviously, regaining access for U.S. beef in China is our most urgent priority, as industry losses from this lockout are enormous. But we are also hopeful that ongoing trade negotiations will remove barriers in other destinations where consumers have a growing appetite for high-quality red meat.”
October lamb exports trend lower
Exports of U.S. lamb muscle cuts totaled 161 mt in October, down 12% year-over-year, while value fell 6% to $971,000. October shipments declined to the Caribbean but increased to Mexico and Central America. January-October exports were still up 40% year-over-year in volume (2,340 mt) and 27% higher in value ($12.65 million), led by growth in Mexico, Canada, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica and Panama.
Economic Outlook: Key Forces Shaping Corn’s Future
The National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) today released its economic outlook for 2026 outlining six key forces expected to drive corn prices and farm margins in the year ahead. The forecast underscores the need for new and expanded markets for corn growers.
“As the report shows, U.S. corn production is increasing with sustained high corn acres and productivity gains,” said report author and NCGA Chief Economists Krista Swanson. “Global corn production is at a record and growing. Without a shift in demand, rising domestic and global corn supply adds downward pressure on corn prices for U.S. farmers unless new demand materializes.”
Financial strain stays top of mind for growers facing near-record production costs and low corn prices. The 2026 forecast cost is only 1% lower than the record $928 per acre in 2022, but the forecasted $4.10 per bushel market year average corn price is 37% lower than $6.54 for the 2022 crop.
Despite the challenges noted, the outlook identifies significant opportunity, not only in the near term but also in the long term with growth potential for ethanol in emerging markets beyond on-road use that has bolstered corn in recent decades.
“Amid high production levels, expanding and diversity demand is essential,” said Swanson. “Decisions made this year—on trade, energy policy, and ethanol expansion—will shape the future profitability and resilience of the U.S. corn industry.”
NCGA is pushing for passage of legislation that would expand access to fuels with 15% ethanol blends across the nation during summer months. The organization is also working to expand foreign market access and encouraging renewal of USMCA.
Friday, January 9, 2026
Friday January 09 Ag News - Luck to Lead UNL BSE Dept - NW IA Feedlot Forum - ICGA Policy Priorities - RFS Compliance Deadline - Ethanol Exports Sharply Higher - and more!
Luck named interim head of UNL’s Department of Biological Systems Engineering
Joe Luck, professor and Extension specialist in precision agriculture and assistant director of the Eastern Nebraska Research, Extension and Education Center near Mead, has been appointed interim head of the University of Nebraska–Lincoln’s Department of Biological Systems Engineering.
Luck succeeds Mark Stone, who served as department head from 2023 through the end of 2025 before returning to the faculty. Luck began his tenure as interim department head Jan. 1. The university thanks Stone for his leadership, service and the many talents he brought to the Department of Biological Systems Engineering during his tenure.
Luck joined the Department of Biological Systems Engineering at UNL in April 2012. His work focuses on developing Extension and research programs related to the application of precision agriculture technologies in crop production. He also teaches courses in precision and digital agriculture and works closely with interdisciplinary teams to evaluate emerging technologies, including crop canopy sensors for nitrogen application and advanced pesticide application systems.
“Dr. Luck is a distinguished researcher, an inspiring educator and a trusted leader,” said Tiffany Heng-Moss, interim NU vice president and Harlan vice chancellor for UNL’s Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources. “I’m excited to work alongside him as we continue to build momentum in the Department of Biological Systems Engineering.”
As he begins his role, Luck looks forward to strengthening the Department of Biological Systems Engineering’s partnerships across IANR, the College of Engineering and other units within the NU system, with a particular focus on expanding collaborations with external partners. He is also focused on student success and ensuring that today’s Biological Systems Engineering students — who represent three undergraduate majors — are well prepared to meet future challenges in agricultural and biological engineering and agricultural systems technologies.
“The Department of Biological Systems Engineering has incredible faculty, staff and students with remarkably broad expertise,” Luck said. “This role provides an exciting opportunity to work across disciplines — from digital agriculture and robotics to ecological and biomedical engineering — and to connect technological innovation with real-world biological systems, including plants, animals and people. Our department is focused on preparing the next generation of technologists, engineers and scientists to tackle complex challenges and create meaningful, positive impacts for agriculture and society.”
Luck earned his master’s and doctoral degrees in biosystems and agricultural engineering from the University of Kentucky. He has received numerous honors for his research and Extension work, including the Pierre Roberts Young Scientist Award from the International Society of Precision Agriculture in 2020 and the Larry Turner Young Extension Professional Award from the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers in 2017.
Sanders named executive director of the Daugherty Water for Food Global Institute
Joe Sanders has been appointed the new executive director of the Daugherty Water for Food Global Institute (DWFI) at the University of Nebraska.
DWFI is one of three University of Nebraska (NU) institutes in which talented experts across all four campuses come together to find innovative solutions to challenges facing our state, nation and world. DWFI addresses the complex challenges of water and food security, and its work directly supports the university's commitment to local impact with global reach.
Sanders will officially assume the executive director position on Feb. 1, 2026, and brings more than 27 years of experience as an international development leader, designing and managing large-scale programs across Africa, Asia and Latin America. The university conducted an international search after Peter McCornick announced he would be stepping down from the role after 2025. The University of Nebraska thanks McCornick for nearly a decade of dedicated service to the institute.
“The Daugherty Water for Food Global Institute represents the very best of the University of Nebraska,” said NU President Jeffrey P. Gold, M.D. “DWFI is a model of collaboration – among campuses, among the public and private sectors, and among disciplines – throughout Nebraska and around the world. I am excited for Joe Sanders to guide this incredible institute into its next era.”
Throughout his career, Sanders has led eight major initiatives totaling over $330 million, with a focus on agricultural market systems, food security, climate resilience, irrigation, youth livelihoods and governance. His work is rooted in locally led solutions and long-term institutional strengthening. Sanders has mobilized over $240 million in leveraged resources and worked closely with governments, civil society and the private sector in complex, multi-stakeholder environments.
“I am thrilled to welcome Joe Sanders to Nebraska and to work alongside him to advance water conservation, water use and food security,” said Tiffany Heng-Moss, interim Harlan Vice Chancellor for UNL’s Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources. “Joe brings incredible experience to this position, and I’m excited for him to begin in his role and meet with the team members and partners across Nebraska who have contributed to the local and global success of this important institute.”
Sanders earned his Master of Science degree in managing rural development from the University of London and a Bachelor of Science degree in biology from Catholic University of America.
As DWFI executive director, Sanders will provide leadership, strategic direction and oversight for the institute’s three primary missions of research, education, and policy, while continuing to build DWFI as a global leader and partner in the international water and food communities.
"I am honored to join the University of Nebraska and to serve as executive director of the Daugherty Water for Food Global Institute. DWFI’s commitment to collaboration and applied, science-based research brings together world-class expertise in research, education, and policy to address one of the most urgent challenges of our time—how to sustainably manage water to feed a growing world. I look forward to working with faculty, partners, and communities to scale practical solutions that strengthen resilient water and food systems in Nebraska and around the globe."
Feedlot Forum 2026 features water quality, feedlot health issues, and the cattle market outlook
Water quality, feedlot health issues, and the cattle market outlook are just some of the topics that will be covered during the 2026 Feedlot Forum set for Jan. 20 from 9 a.m. to 3 p.m. at the Terrace View Events Center in Sioux Center.
The event is sponsored by ISU Extension and Outreach and the Sioux County Cattleman’s Association, and will feature key speakers covering the following topics:
IDALS Iowa Water Quality Initiatives – Colin Tadlock, IDALS
PAS-Recent Evaluations of Earlage for Finishing Cattle – Dr. Wes W. Gentry, Midwest PMS LLC
Research Review and Feedlot Health Issues – Dr. Dan Thomson, Production Animal Consultants
Updates from the Iowa Beef Center, a Look at the New ISU Beef Teaching Farm, and Updates from ICA – Dr. Aimee Wertz-Lutz, Iowa Beef Center; Dr. Jason Ross, Iowa State University Animal Science Department; and Bryan Whaley, Iowa Cattlemen’s Association
A Packers Perspective – Ed Greiman, Upper Iowa Beef and Niewohner Cattle
Market Outlook – Mike Miller, CattleFax
Since the Feedlot Forum’s inception in 2004, Beth Doran, retired northwest Iowa extension beef specialist, has been a true leader in ensuring the continued success of the region’s premier feedlot -focused program. Over the years, Doran and a leadership team of local cattlemen have provided area beef producers with relevant and timely information through this annual event. During the 2026 Feedlot Forum, Doran will be recognized for her efforts with Feedlot Forum, her commitments to helping cattlemen and women, and her successful career at Iowa State University.
An outstanding trade show will feature 20-plus industry-leading businesses showcasing the latest technology in cattle nutrition, animal health, food safety, feedstuff harvesting, housing, manure management, marketing, and cattle management.
Registration (which includes lunch) is $30 per adult or $10 per student, and is due Jan. 13 to ISU Extension and Outreach Sioux County. For more information or to register, visit www.extension.iastate.edu/sioux/feedlot-forum or call Sioux County Extension at 712-737-4230.
ICGA Releases Top State and Federal Policy Priorities for 2026
The Iowa Corn Growers Association (ICGA), one of the most effective, longest-standing agricultural associations in the country, released its final list of state and federal policy priorities for the upcoming year.
“The ICGA state and federal policy priorities reflect the voices of the over 7,000 corn farmer members across the state,” said Iowa Corn Growers Association President Mark Mueller, and farmer from Waverly, Iowa. “Our policy decision process includes a policy survey and roundtable discussions before being voted on at our Annual Grassroots Summit. The issues outlined in this year’s priorities reflect issues that matter most to Iowa’s corn farmers, and with the start of the legislative session next week, we are excited to fight for these issues on behalf of Iowa’s corn growers.”
2026 ICGA Priorities – State (Alphabetical)
Conservation/Water Quality – Maintain legislative funding stream for Iowa Nutrient Reduction Strategy, including Maximum Return to Nitrogen.
Crop nutrient/manure management (nitrate issue).
Ethanol – Support all efforts to lower carbon intensity score of corn-based ethanol and promote ethanol as a carbon reduction solution across all markets while maintaining property rights.
Pesticide labeling.
Property tax reform.
2026 ICGA Priorities – Federal (Alphabetical)
Carbon – Support carbon intensity reduction initiatives and credit programs for global market access.
Ethanol – Support a nationwide E15 fix and an Octane Bill. We support retaining the RFS.
Farm Bill – Improve crop insurance and protect/funding for Market Access Program (MAP) and Foreign Market Development Program (FMD) within the USDA process.
Trade – Expand new and protect existing bilateral and multi-lateral trade agreements.
Transportation - Improve transportation infrastructure including but not limited to locks and dams, roadways, etc.
“As an ICGA member, you help us make a real difference in advancing policies that matter most on our farms. I encourage all Iowa corn farmers and supporters to get involved at the local, state, and national level to help us continue moving Iowa’s corn industry forward,” said Mueller.
The complete 2026 ICGA policy resolution book is available at www.iowacorn.org/policy or in hard copy for free upon request by emailing corninfo@iowacorn.org or calling 515-225-9242.
Registration Open for 2026 Farm Transitions Conference
The 2026 Farm Transitions Conference will be held Feb. 5–6 at the Courtyard by Marriott Hotel & Conference Center in Ankeny. The conference is hosted by the Beginning Farmer Center at Iowa State University.
The two-day conference will bring together farmers, landowners and agricultural professionals seeking practical guidance on farm succession planning, options to transfer land and assets and long-term farm viability. Attendees will hear from experienced attorneys, farm management specialists, economists and transition experts who understand the unique challenges facing farm families.
“Planning for a farm's future can feel complex and overwhelming, but with2026 Farm Transitions Conference, February 5-6, Ankeny Iowa, Iowa State University Extension and Outreach Beginning Farmer Center the right tools, it can be both manageable and exciting,” said Kristiana Coutu, director of the Beginning Farmer Center and senior counsel with the Center for Agricultural Law and Taxation at Iowa State. “Whether participants are just beginning to consider retirement, actively transitioning management or ownership or navigating multi-generational decision-making, the conference offers timely and actionable information.”
Session topics will include:
How current tax laws affect farm transfers and estate plans
Using business entities to support succession goals
Long-term care and retirement planning while protecting land and family relationships
Considerations for non-family succession
Strategies for having productive, and sometimes difficult, family and business conversations
Practical steps to move from “we should plan” to “we have a plan”
“Beyond the sessions, the conference offers valuable opportunities to connect with other farmers and landowners who face similar challenges and decisions,” mentioned Coutu. Previous participants have noted that these conversations, in addition to the sessions, make the conference worthwhile.
All participants will receive a complimentary copy of the updated Estate and Succession Planning for the Farm, a 100-page workbook published by ISU Extension and Outreach, along with lifetime access to the new Estate and Succession Planning for the Farm Portal, an online resource designed to support attendees before, during and after the conference.
To attend, register online at the 2026 Farm Transitions Conference website https://www.regcytes.extension.iastate.edu/farmtransitions/register/. Participants who cannot attend in person may opt for the virtual option when registering.
Iowa Farm Bureau to host 2026 Ag Market Outlook meeting series across the state
After a challenging 2025, Iowa farmers are heading into 2026 with tighter margins, higher interest costs, growing market uncertainty and some forecasts showing a 24% decrease in net farm income. To help farmers navigate those pressures, Iowa Farm Bureau will host a six-stop Ag Market Outlook Meeting Series across the state this February.
The series will examine current drivers in the grain and livestock markets and how tariffs, interest rates and price inflation are affecting ag financing decisions. Farm Bureau Financial Services will discuss 2026 crop insurance considerations, as well as risk management tools such as Livestock Risk Protection. The session will also cover farm transition and succession planning.
Speakers will vary by location and include Carol Jensen, Luana Savings Bank vice president; Nic Klein, Central Bank agricultural lending officer; Dr. Christopher Pudenz, Iowa Farm Bureau economics and research manager; Zach Brummer, Iowa Farm Bureau farmer education program manager; Erin Herbold-Swalwell, Farm Bureau Financial Services senior counsel; and Angie Horn, Zach Hyland and Shelby Oetting, Farm Bureau Financial Services regional crop consultants.
Meeting locations and dates are as follows:
Northwest Iowa Community College, Sheldon on Monday, Feb. 16 from 7:45 to 10:45 a.m.
Wall Lake Community Center, Wall Lake on Monday, Feb. 16 from 12:45–3:45 p.m.
Dunlap Four County Fairgrounds, Dunlap on Tuesday, Feb. 17 from 9:45 a.m.–1:15 p.m.
Northeast Iowa Community College, Calmar on Tuesday, Feb. 24 from 7:45–10:45 a.m.
Jones County Farm Bureau, Anamosa on Tuesday, Feb. 24 from 12:45–3:45 p.m.
Cambridge Building on the Jefferson County Fairgrounds, Fairfield on Wednesday, Feb. 25 from 5–8:15 p.m.
“Farmers are making decisions in an environment with a lot more unknowns than we’ve seen in recent years,” said Brummer. “Iowa Farm Bureau wants to provide farmers with a relevant look at how rising input costs, tariff volatility and global uncertainty are affecting profitability—and what steps they can take now to manage risk going into 2026.”
Registration is free for Iowa Farm Bureau members. Non-members interested in attending are encouraged to contact their local county Farm Bureau or become a member at www.iowafarmbureau.com. All meetings include a catered meal, coffee bar and educational materials. For registration assistance or additional information, contact Ashley Lennon at alennon@ifbf.org.
Clean Fuels Asks EPA to Maintain RFS Compliance Deadline
Thursday, Clean Fuels Alliance America sent a letter to EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, asking the agency to maintain the 2025 Renewable Fuel Standard compliance deadline on March 31, 2026, to mitigate the impacts of rulemaking delays. Under existing EPA rules, the compliance deadline will automatically shift to June 1 if the agency fails to finalize the 2026 Renewable Volume Obligations by the end of January. The shift will compound the negative economic effects that biomass-based diesel producers and farmers are already experiencing from the rulemaking delay.
“Ongoing delays in the rulemaking are creating intolerable uncertainty for biomass-based diesel producers and for farmers,” Clean Fuels writes in the letter. “Biomass-based diesel producers and soybean processors are currently negotiating feedstock contracts, fuel production and offtake agreements, and investment decisions for 2026. The lack of certainty in the RFS program is even now impacting those market decisions.”
Biomass-based diesel production is idling at the start of this year, because the annual volumes are not in place, the letter points out. The slowdown in production will impact the crop prices soybean farmers receive and undermine significant U.S. investments in oilseed processing and fuel production capacity.
Kurt Kovarik, Clean Fuels’ Vice President of Federal Affairs, added, “EPA has proposed the most robust volumes in the history of the RFS program. EPA, USDA and other administration leaders know that the RFS is driving investment in American energy production, creating jobs in rural communities, and building desperately needed new markets for American farmers. Finalizing the 2026 rules in a timely manner is crucial to ensuring those economic and energy security benefits are delivered.”
“Automatic RFS compliance delays were put in place by prior administrations to mitigate the harm to refiners from continual rulemaking delays,” Kovarik continued. “As EPA now works to get the RFS program back on track, it should mitigate the harm to biomass-based diesel producers and farmers by maintaining timely compliance deadlines.”
October Exports of U.S. Ethanol and DDGS Strengthen
U.S. ethanol exports rebounded sharply in October, surging 25% to 185.0 million gallons (mg) and marking the strongest October on record. The gain was driven by record-high shipments of denatured fuel ethanol. Canada remained the top destination, boosting ethanol imports 38% to a record 90.7 mg and accounting for 49% of total U.S. ethanol exports for the month. Canada also absorbed 83% of all denatured fuel ethanol sales. Shipments to the European Union climbed 20% to 42.8 mg, with volumes routed almost entirely through the Netherlands, which remained the primary destination for undenatured fuel ethanol. Exports to the United Kingdom expanded fivefold to 13.2 mg, while shipments to South Korea likewise advanced fivefold to 9.4 mg. Exports to India eased 6% to 7.8 mg. Shipments to Mexico tripled to 7.6 mg, while exports to Colombia retreated 20% to 7.0 mg. Rounding out the top ten markets were the Philippines (1.8 mg), Jamaica (1.6 mg), and Norway (1.0 mg). Notably, Brazil exited the market after importing 2.6 mg in September. Year-to-date, U.S. ethanol exports totaled 1.75 billion gallons, running 13% ahead of last year’s pace.
The U.S. recorded no imports of foreign ethanol in October. Year-to-date ethanol imports stand at 3.6 mg.
U.S. exports of dried distillers grains with solubles (DDGS)—the high-protein coproduct of dry-mill ethanol plants—edged 1% higher in October to 1.07 million metric tons (mt). Mexico remained the largest destination, lifting imports 7% to 189,467 mt. Exports to South Korea dipped 2% to 144,665 mt, while shipments to Turkey jumped 26% to a 13-month high of 117,880 mt. Exports to Vietnam slipped 25% to 99,197 mt, shipments to Indonesia declined 9% to 95,834 mt, and exports to New Zealand contracted 22% to 60,000 mt. Other major markets included Canada (59,732 mt, +20%), the European Union (59,292 mt, -3%), the United Kingdom (48,674 mt, rebounding more than five-fold), and Colombia (41,102 mt, +9%). Year-to-date DDGS exports totaled 9.77 million mt, trailing last year’s pace by 3%.
The U.S. Census Bureau will issue November trade data on January 29, though the release of December statistics remains unscheduled. RFA will continue to monitor developments and notify stakeholders when the trade series returns to its normal release schedule.
Additional Screwworm Case Detected Just 215 Miles from Texas Border
Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller today issued a stark warning to livestock producers in Texas and nationwide after Mexican authorities confirmed an additional New World screwworm (NWS) case in a seven-year-old bovine in González, Tamaulipas—only 215 miles south of the Texas border. The infected animal had no reported history of movement outside of Tamaulipas and represents the third active case in the state.
“The screwworm now may be moving closer on its own, with no apparent link to commercial animal movement,” Commissioner Miller said. “Texas producers must act now—stay informed, stay vigilant, and prepare immediately. We cannot drop our guard for even a moment.”
Mexican officials report no evidence yet of an established screwworm population in Tamaulipas. The USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) is working closely with Mexico’s National Service for Health, Safety and Agro-Food Quality (SENASICA) to investigate further. APHIS and SENASICA will evaluate response measures, including the release of sterile flies to stop the spread.
Miller urged immediate action from ranchers along the Texas border: “Inspect your animals daily. Check every open wound. If anything looks suspicious, report it right away. Better a false alarm than a delayed response—early detection and rapid reporting are our strongest defenses against this devastating pest.”
The Texas Department of Agriculture is coordinating closely with USDA and animal health partners, calling on all producers to monitor livestock closely and report any suspicious wounds or infestations without delay.
Commissioner Miller praised the decisive leadership of his great friend and fellow Texan, USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins, in confronting the threat head-on. “Secretary Rollins is driving a bold, comprehensive five-pronged plan that will crush this danger once and for all,” Miller said. “Her Texas-tough resolve and outstanding efforts are getting sterile fly production back to full strength. We will push this pest back—just as we’ve done before. Texas, along with the rest of our country, must stand ready.”
For more information on New World screwworm, visit www.screwworm.gov.
Loveland Products Introduces AQUA FORCE for Maximizing Soil Water Retention in Center Pivot Systems
Loveland Products, Inc.® has announced the launch of AQUA FORCE, a new kind of water use efficiency product designed mainly for center pivot systems. Unlike traditional soil surfactants or wetting agents, AQUA FORCE helps water move more evenly through the soil, stay where plants need it, and work harder for every acre.
Built for modern irrigation challenges, AQUA FORCE improves water distribution, retention, and infiltration in soil, so farmers can make every pivot pass count. The unique formulation helps soil hold more water in the root zone and reduces compaction, which is key to maximizing yield potential and protecting long-term soil health.
“Farmers are under more pressure than ever to do more with less water,” said Drew Butler, Adjuvants Portfolio Manager at Loveland Products. “The Ogallala Aquifer alone can lose up to one to two feet of water each year, and that’s not sustainable. But AQUA FORCE helps farmers get the most out of every drop by improving how water interacts with the soil.”
In 2024, the Irrigation Research Foundation (IRF) in Yuma, Colorado, tested AQUA FORCE on corn through center pivot applications. The result? An average yield increase of 9 bushels per acre across all production zones. Results are likely to vary based on site-specific conditions, hybrids planted, and any other factors that affect yield. At the Oklahoma site, AQUA FORCE also helped fields maintain higher soil moisture levels (0–6 in) throughout the growing season. This means more water stays where crops can use it, and less loss to evaporation or runoff. For farmers relying on the Ogallala Aquifer, that efficiency matters.
Why AQUA FORCE Stands Out
Improves water efficiency: Enhances soil’s ability to hold and distribute water evenly across the profile
Supports better yields: Supports ideal growing conditions for stronger roots and higher productivity
Saves time and resources: Less wasted water, fewer irrigation adjustments, more efficient production
“AQUA FORCE fills a gap in the market,” added Dr. Darin Lickfeldt, Senior Manager of Technical Development at Loveland Products. “It’s not just about getting water to the field; it’s about keeping it where it matters most. When irrigation water is applied, AQUA FORCE helps ensure it works harder, lasts longer, and supports better yield outcomes.”
AQUA FORCE represents the next step in Loveland’s commitment to advancing water management technology that supports both productivity and sustainability. Purpose-built for the challenges ahead, this innovation empowers farmers to enhance soil health, crop performance, and long-term resilience.